China Pulls the Plug on Foreign Capital in Auto Industry
Posted by: Dent Removal / Category: AutomobilesChina’s Ministry of Commerce and the National Reform and Development Commission (NDRC) issued a cryptic statement today stating that support for foreign capital in the auto industry will be with drawn in 2012. What does this mean? We are not quit sure yet, but looking over the market condition it is obvious that China’s Auto Policy has become a double edged sword, on one hand the Chinese auto industry has become a hundred billion dollar industry within a mere decade and of course the world’s biggest auto market, on the other hand the Chinese auto market is dominated by foreign manufacturers who are locked into joint venture deals with local manufacturers that are largely state owned.
Originally the Chinese mandate for the auto market was based on developing the market by swapping technology for market access, in the late 90′s the Chinese auto market was very small but obviously had enormous potential, the government allowed foreign manufacturers entry into China on account they pair up with a local manufacturer, which were mostly truck manufacturers that were on the verge of bankruptcy. Foreign manufacturers got access to potentially huge market, and Chinese manufacturers got their hands on what they believed to be cutting edge technology.
The NDRC is not just a national level body, it is also a provincial level body with offices in each provincial capital, in the early days provincial NDRC’s were all to eager to welcome foreign car manufacturers into their local markets to boost GDP, as a car manufacturer arrived a thousand suppliers would pop up in the neighborhood bringing untold investment to areas. Take for example VAG in Changchun, the cold hinterlands of Jilin Province are hardly ideal car making conditions, the rust belt city was long forgotten by national level bodies but with the introduction of VW and Audi into the surrounding area the city took off as “China’s Detroit”, later Mazda and Toyota would also call Changchun home. Eventually, fast forwarding to 2011, foreign automakers would come to dominate the Chinese auto market with a more than 60% share of the market.
In 2010 the National Government felt that the Market Access for Technology route was not quite working as planned, local joint venture partners were not getting access to the technology required to push forward their own car developing skills so they allowed joint venture companies to give birth to their own sub brands such as BaoJun (GM), Li Nian (Honda) and Venucia (Nissan), again this seems to have had a negative effect on the local car industry with only small amounts of out dated technology being transferred to local partners.
The cryptic ‘withdrawing of support‘ message is actually quite clear – its saying that China is closed to foreign auto companies for the time being, so if you’re not already in China you maybe locked out for the time being. Unless of course substantial contributions will be made to the furthering of the Chinese auto industry in terms of technology transfers or the establishment of joint R&D centers in China. Who will be affected the most by this turn of events? Renault, Subaru and JLR are all eager to enter into the Chinese market but haven’t yet done so. Subaru’s deal with Chery was scuppered by a lack of tech transfer and the NDRC pointing out that Toyota’s 16% share of Surbaru’s parent company, Fujitsu Heavy Industries, was somehow unacceptable in the face of Chinese rules that state foreign auto companies can only have two partners in China (The Subaru JV with Chery would have made this Toyota’s third JV), an alteration to the agreement may see Subaru’s being produced as Chery’s in the Chinese market to get around rules and regulations. Chang’an-PSA’s Joint Venture only made it past governmental approval in time before the new edict came into place, but the joint venture came at a price – PSA will have to invest healthily in the R&D side of things, thus showing that new ’2012 rule’ has already been in effect for a number of months already. The Chinese government is making a statement, China is no longer the place to assemble and sell cars, if you come here you have to invest at every level, from R&D and to HR and also be ready to carry out technology transfers, whether you like it or not – everyone who is not already here will have to pay the new toll.
The Chinese auto market grew at its slowest pace for a decade in 2011, this slow growth rate has made Chinese manufacturers look closer at exporting their cars to foreign markets in 2012 and will force Chinese manufacturers to focus more on the after sales side of the market and also improving technology at all levels, from energy efficiency to passenger safety.















